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2024-12-13 18:23:49

Hezbollah in Lebanon declares that it is a dangerous act of aggression for Israel to occupy more Syrian territory and destroy its military capabilities. The United Nations Security Council, the international community and Arab and Islamic countries have the responsibility to reject and put an end to such acts and protect them at this sensitive and critical stage in Syrian history.The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.


Wall Street consultants expect the deal-making business to heat up in the Trump era. Wall Street M&A consultants said that the expected regulatory relaxation will promote M&A activities and initial public offerings in the coming year, and companies are regaining the transaction manual. Christina Minnis, head of global credit financing and global acquisitions at Goldman Sachs, said that given Donald Trump's policy commitments during the presidential campaign, "I think the outside world may think that M&A activities in the United States may be slightly strengthened."China promised to continue to contribute to the United Nations Central Emergency Response Fund. On December 10th, local time, Geng Shuang, Deputy Permanent Representative of China to the United Nations, attended the 2025 High-level Pledging Conference of the United Nations Central Emergency Response Fund, saying that at present, geopolitical conflicts are constant, natural disasters are frequent, the global humanitarian situation has deteriorated significantly, and humanitarian needs are increasing. The important role of the Central Emergency Response Fund in providing rescue, saving lives and alleviating suffering has further increased. Geng Shuang said that China has always supported the United Nations to play a coordinating role in international humanitarian relief and the Central Emergency Response Fund to carry out its work. Since 2007, voluntary contributions have been made to the Fund every year. In 2024, donations have been completed, and contributions will continue to be made to the Fund in 2025. Geng Shuang said that China has provided long-term humanitarian assistance to countries in need through bilateral channels and in various forms, and will continue to uphold the concept of a community of human destiny, make joint efforts with the international community, and support countries and people in need to cope with the humanitarian crisis and get out of the humanitarian predicament. (CCTV)The Prime Minister of Qatar and the US Secretary of State discussed the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza by telephone. On December 10th, local time, the Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Qatar talked with the US Secretary of State Blinken by telephone, focusing on the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza and other regional issues. The two sides stated that it is necessary to promote an inclusive political process and achieve a peaceful transfer of power in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 2254. All parties in Syria should also strengthen efforts to protect civilians and fight terrorism. The two sides also exchanged views on the latest situation in the Gaza Strip and the progress of relevant negotiations.


Nearly half of the listed securities firms announced the roadmap of improving quality and increasing efficiency. Recently, Capital Securities and two listed securities firms in central china securities successively disclosed the action plan of "improving quality, increasing efficiency and paying more attention to returns" in 2024, and disclosed the company's next plan from many aspects, such as strengthening functional positioning, improving operating quality and enhancing investors' returns. Since Founder Securities announced the action plan of "improving quality, increasing efficiency and paying more attention to returns" in 2024 in April this year, by the time of china securities journal's press release on December 10th, there were 20 A-share listed brokers who announced relevant announcements and carried out relevant actions, accounting for nearly half. Combing the schemes disclosed by brokers, it is found that, while actively responding to the development of financial services to the real economy and new quality productivity, in the face of the competitive environment where industry concentration is expected to be further enhanced and the "Matthew effect" is further intensified, brokers with different characteristics and sizes have also combined their own endowments in their action plans to disclose future differentiated competitive ideas. (CSI)The EU plans to issue up to 90 billion euros of long-term bonds in the first half of 2025.Argentine President Millai: Argentina's economy will grow in 2025 and inflation will decline.

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